Back to the new Fishguard services, I recived a reply/acknowledgment to my responce to the consultation. One passage stands out
We have worked with ATW▸ to build on that by offering additional through journey opportunities and onward connections where possible, within train stock (1 additional unit) and financial constraints.
Bold formatting added by me. Where is this additional unit? For starters, without using more
LHCS▸ the only place they could be getting additional rolling stock resources from is the return of leased 150s from
FGW▸ , and that's 2 units not one. Secondly, I cannot see how this service would not be possible with ATW's current fleet. From previous discussions on this topic and a study of the present timetable the diagrams seem to be:
1st Diagram:
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175xxx (from Sept.):
05:50 CMN - FGH
06:53 FGH - Clarbeston Rd.
07:33 Clarbeston Rd. - FGH
08:06 FGH - MAN
175xxx (present):
05:43 CMN - PMD
07:09 PMD - MAN
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2nd Diagram:
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09:00 HOWL service off Shrewsbury, running through to Cardiff arriving 14:15 followed by:
15:14
CDF» -
SWA» (present)
17:10 SWA - CDF (present)
From Sept. that would be:
15:30 CDF - FGH
18:49 FGH - WTL
19:38 WTL - FGH
20:16 FGH - CMN
and, in the morning:
05:43 CMN - PMD
07:09 PMD - SWA
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That leaves 2 153s 06:42 CDF - CMN, which then go their seperate ways and, apart from one CMN - SWA - CMN working being ditched from September for a Fishguard service, results in both units running the same PMD - SWA runs all day. Of these, the diagram for one unit (ending it's day at Carmarthen) is completly unchanged. The other gets to Swansea at 23:45 in any case and my guess is it then runs the night Fishguard followed by the 04:36 HOWL service off Swansea.
Do those diagrams look correct to you? Two concerns I have are:
- The 153 that starts at Cardiff and currently seems to end it's day at Carmarthen (at 20:28) after running Pembroke services. Unless the third (and presumablly final) Pembroke diagram that does not go to Manchester starts from Carmarthen (somthing you'll have to inform me about) I can't see what there is for it to do in the morning at present.
- Of the two 153s that leave Canton at 06:42 neither get back, how does Canton not run out of 153s to send out every morning?
Now, I'm going to assume the unit off the current 17:10 SWA - CDF has no more work to do after that. I'm also going to assume ATW extend the
WAG» 2 unit to start from SWA to cover for the lost 17:10 SWA - CDF. In this case, since all services seem to still be covered, there doesn't seem to be any reason for requiring an additional unit. The only thing that we might not be picking up on is peak strengthening of valleys services, and with the unit for the 15:14 CDF - SWA coming off a daytime HOWL service from Shrewsbury that looks unlikely. Therefore, only one question remains, how does the unit off the 1st Pemborke, reaching SWA at 09:23, get back to Shrewsbury to form the next day's 15:30 CDF - FGH?
If I'm right, not only is the service achiveable even without the additional unit they claim to need, that 153 arriving at Swansea at 09:23 has nothing to do all day until it heads off back to Shrewsbury. So, here's a not fully checked (eg. could cause a head-on-colision on the Gowerton single track or completly screw up the diagraming) suggestion for new services the unit could run after that:
10:11 SWA - CDF (new Swanline service)
Refuel at Canton
13:33 CDF - FGH (arrive 15:51, thanks to Swansea District Line, 5hr gap - plugged)
16:00 FGH - SWA (arrive 17:45, in time for the unit to go off to Shrewsbury on the 18:21 HOWL)