Recently I had to find my way through the Stalinist monstrosity that is Heathrow Terminal 5 (why do we need that monorail when a moving walkway would do perfectly well?), and my impression is that it symbolises the peak of this nations pomposity and arrogance, and in a few years will be seeing only a fraction of the passengers it was designed for.
I believe air travel is set to decline over the next few decades for a combination of reasons:
- The environment: obviously our present government doesn't care about it, but increasingly other European governments do, and by increasing taxes they will reduce short haul flights, probably in favour of rail. I believe the majority of flights from Heathrow are short haul to Europe.
- Terrorism: not so much the threat to flights themselves, but the overall fear factor as terrorism increases will reduce international tourism, especially perhaps from the US. And terrorism will increase, while the reasons for its existence are not addressed.
- The economy: I've no idea how deep or longlasting this global downturn will be, but I think it's pretty bad. They can't wave a magic wand and bring all that imaginary money back. I'm no expert, but clearly the
UK▸ is one of the most exposed nations in this regard -- what exactly was our economy built on apart from the now discredited Financial Services Industry, and overinflated property values?
- More and more people are waking up to the fact that flying is rubbish. You have a long and awkward journey to the airport, you struggle to stay within the luggage allowance, you wait around for hours, then the hassle of security checks, then you're cramped into a tiny area, and the food is poor, and when you arrive you've got loads more waiting around to do and then have a third journey to reach your destination. Yeah it's exciting the first few times but once the novelty has worn off and the cheap flights are gone.... most people would rather drive or take a train.
So it will be ironic if the only major improvements to our rail system are built to service airports.
But hey, let's built a few white elephants for future generations to laugh at, as they remember how in the early 21st century our government thought London was the most important city in the world.