Can anyone tell me if any of the TOC▸ 's have ever posted an annual loss? All I ever hear about is profits, even in years where the operator in question has provided an abysmal service which can't even be blamed on the likes of Network Rail or God.
I think parent companies have (Sea Containers), but in practise the train operating end is protected by "Cap and Collar" arrangements:
http://www.canber.co.uk/?q=node/32So not only is it absolutely impossible for a TOC to lose money, it's also impossible for them to make a decent profit. Running a franchise is only about ticking the necessary boxes to win future franchises, and protecting your tiny margin to pass onto the shareholders. But wasn't privatisation about the prospect of increased profit encouraging better services? Take that away and exactly what benefit is it supposed to bring??? If there's another theoretical justification then I'm afraid nearly 30 years of propaganda has failed to lodge it in my brain.
it provides the TOC with an element of protection against changing world conditions that they had no way of forecasting at the time the bid was made
So TOC's are like banks then -- too important to suffer the consequences of their mistakes and misjudgements like the rest of us.
However, at least the government has bought a stake in the failing banks, whereas a failing TOC and its shareholders get to keep the subsidy.
Of course, I can see the downside of the letting a TOC go bust: the government would have no option but to take over running the franchise itself, which would be nationalisation, and might support the arguments of all those old skool socialists and liberals who still can't understand why privatisation is automatically the best possible solution to everything. And it's more important to marginalise your political opponents than to have decent public services.
As for the Javelins, they are a "flagship" project. They will be fast, they will probably look nice, and they will be the railway equivalent of the empty community centre on the edge of a deprived estate -- built to look good in a photocall with this week's Minister, and to impress people who don't need to use them. Meanwhile 99.9% of rush hour commuters are packed in like sardines in 40 year old carriages on slow unreliable lines.