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Author Topic: Storms Eunice, Franklin, Gladys from 18/2/2022  (Read 19012 times)
Timmer
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« on: February 16, 2022, 17:36:51 »

Starting a thread for the upcoming storm this Friday.

Latest forecast model runs continue to show consistency that this will be a disruptive event across the GWR (Great Western Railway) and SWR» (South Western Railway - about) region as well as pretty much the whole of England and Wales.

The Met office have issued an Amber warning for Friday though I expect some exposed places may even be upped to a Red warning when the Met next review their warnings.

I would strongly advise against any form of travel on Friday and fully expect a partial shutdown by Network Rail and train operators or even a total shutdown in any areas where a Red warning is issued.

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Robin Summerhill
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« Reply #1 on: February 16, 2022, 18:51:26 »

And to think only a few days ago we were discussing the 1962/63 Big Freeze and how the schools stayed open and the railways kept running....
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IndustryInsider
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« Reply #2 on: February 16, 2022, 18:52:20 »

Yes, it looks like we just got away without too much disruption from Dudley, but Eunice is looking like Dudley’s big sister!  Expect quite severe disruption if travelling.
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ChrisB
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« Reply #3 on: February 16, 2022, 19:44:48 »

I wouldn’t be surprised to see a blanket low speed restriction from Network Rail causing major cancellations or even a revised timetable with a Do Not Travel note meaning no compensation or alternative options offered if a service gets stuck or fails
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TonyK
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« Reply #4 on: February 16, 2022, 19:50:49 »

Luckily for me, I am laid low by Covid, and won't be going anywhere on Friday anyway.
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rogerw
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« Reply #5 on: February 16, 2022, 20:25:25 »

I will be in the south of France on Friday so it won't affect me
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JayMac
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« Reply #6 on: February 16, 2022, 21:02:19 »

I've had a warning from my power network of possible power cuts caused by Eunice.

I'm hoping that disruption isn't too bad on Saturday. I have to travel from Templecombe to Taunton by train.
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bobm
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« Reply #7 on: February 16, 2022, 21:06:36 »

Wouldn't fancy being a watchman on the Devon seawall on Friday but be interesting to see how the new defences perform.
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JayMac
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« Reply #8 on: February 16, 2022, 21:17:02 »

Wouldn't fancy being a watchman on the Devon seawall on Friday but be interesting to see how the new defences perform.

Hopefully, with the forecast winds being westerly, there shouldn't be too much of an issue at Dawlish. It would appear that the Atlantic coast and Bristol Channel are of more concern.
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PhilWakely
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« Reply #9 on: February 16, 2022, 21:18:51 »

Wouldn't fancy being a watchman on the Devon seawall on Friday but be interesting to see how the new defences perform.

Hopefully, with the forecast winds being westerly, there shouldn't be too much of an issue at Dawlish. It would appear that the Atlantic coast and Bristol Channel are of more concern.

The weather presenter on BBC» (British Broadcasting Corporation - home page) Spotlight had a potential 'Michael Fish moment' when he said that 'the wind will be in the wrong direction to cause serious disruption'.
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Jamsdad
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« Reply #10 on: February 16, 2022, 21:37:38 »

It is only an amber warning for Friday, they occur fairly frequently so i would not get too worried. Dawlish only gets badly hit by SE and E winds,  relatively sheltered from the SW.
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Timmer
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« Reply #11 on: February 16, 2022, 21:48:47 »

It is only an amber warning for Friday, they occur fairly frequently so i would not get too worried.
I really don’t see it staying that way come review time by the Chief Forecaster tomorrow, some exposed parts of England and Wales will go to a Red warning. This is a nasty weather system be in no doubt.

Even if for most parts it remains Amber, there will be significant disruption and I expect Network Rail and the train operators will outline their plan once they’ve had their latest morning briefing from the Met office.
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JayMac
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« Reply #12 on: February 16, 2022, 22:46:16 »

SWR» (South Western Railway - about) have already said that there will be a blanket speed restriction across their network on Friday 18th.
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GBM
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« Reply #13 on: February 17, 2022, 09:49:41 »

Cornwall Council saying only travel if essential on Friday.
Gusts of 90mph+ between St Ives and Bude from 3am which will coincide with high tides there around 6am.
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Witham Bobby
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« Reply #14 on: February 17, 2022, 10:33:03 »

I'm keeping my fingers crossed that the vulnerable bit of the Mineehad Branch at Helwell Bay will not suffer further damage
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