I don't get the picture - excuse me. I use the route several days each week, for six years and counting, lived locally for two years before that and have been travelling occasionally since the mid-1970s visiting relatives locally, so have seen it come from near enough its lowest ebb - couple of peak through Herefords and assorted other oddments each day, with precious little commuting beyond Oxford - to where we are today.
You need to cater for both
markets
Which is what
FGW▸ , Thames and
BR▸ have done for years, not least since the 1993 Turbo timetable got rid of broken journeys at Oxford and passenger numbers on the route went up by 25 per cent and revenue by 32 per cent within six months - and kept climbing until 2005, when the unreliability started to take a toll.
That the rail operators' way of catering for both markets - and the compromises that it inevitably involves due to operating, staffing and cost constraints - may not entirely suit the smaller number of people travelling from the west of the route is unfortunate. But long-distance trains making more stops is a fact of life across FGW, in Cornwall, Somerset and Wiltshire just as much as the Cotswolds. Why? Because it makes them more money from more passengers and they need it to pay the Government when those premium payments kick in. And in the current economic climate all the more so.
That 1993 timetable also changed the market for ever, making Hanborough, Charlbury and Kingham, in particular, eminently commutable for people working in London. People hate changing trains, so saying 'sorry, we're taking away your through trains in the middle of the peaks and you can all pack into a Turbo and get soaked/frozen in the winter getting to or from platform 3 at Oxford' would destroy what little goodwill FGW have clawed back after the fiasco in December and January.
I posted these passenger figures earlier in this thread but they bear repeating
In order 1977, 1979, 2003, 2005, 2006
Charlbury: 65,494; 81,152; 229,000; 236,749; 232,040
Kingham: 31,258; 36,615; 121,318; 124,462; 126,995
Moreton-in-M: 56,370; 68,193; 176,893; 180,458; 178,004
Evesham: 114,645; 130,198; 240,174; 269,474; 239,257
So if an express was going to stop anywhere between Oxford and Worcester, Charlbury would be one of the stops, but that would then draw passengers from Kingham, swamping the Charlbury car park, so you would have to stop at Kingham too, and if you did that then you would have to call at Moreton, etc, etc. Which is why we are where we are. The current stopping patterns are the result of careful analysis of where the money is coming from. If the extra stops at Hanborough, Honeybourne and Pershore weren't paying their way in terms of revenue earned, they would have been dropped.
Regular commuters equal regular, steady revenue, equal predictable cash flow. The bedrock of any business. Occasional passengers do not equal steady cash flow, even when they pay ^237 - and how many of those tickets do they actually sell? If it was a high number, then they might look more favourably on the idea of a limited-stop train, but bear in mind any such train would be no quicker than it is now between Paddington and Didcot, as the number of services on that section is now so high that belting along London-Reading in 20 minutes is no longer an option.
I'm not obsessed with Mr Cameron and hold no brief for him. He represents a long stretch of the line, including the second busiest intermediate station - Charlbury - and he is quite focused on the railway, because it is used by a lot of his constituents. Inaction would cost him votes in his own backyard - not a great advert for a prime mininster in waiting. Has your
MP▸ held two public meetings about the railways so far this year? I doubt it. One was attended by Andrew Haines and Dave Ward, Network Rail's boss for the west of England - and Notting Hill wasn't mentioned once.
There is a very significant number of passengers who travel from 'villages' to/from Oxford and their needs, important as they are, are at variance to those long distance travellers.
Exactly. A very significant number, far more more significant than people travelling two or three times a month from Hereford or Worcester to London. You could try running non-stop Worcester to London and back, cutting out all us annoying intermediate passengers. But you would lose a pile of money, as the trains would be near-empty - and still would be even if you did stop at Oxford but missed out almost all the intermediate stops beyond.
You would only need to upgrade Wolvercote to Ascott. I am only suggesting additional trains to cater for Moreton - Oxford stopper.
Shall we try this point again - on cost grounds, you can't do anything that involves fiddling with the signalling system at Oxford, which controls the section to Ascott. Dave Ward said at the meeting in Charlbury the costs would be off the scale, which is why it is not being attempted in the double track project.
And your stopper can't end its journey at Moreton, because you still need to serve Honeybourne and Pershore, where passenger numbers have also climbed, but which also seem to figure high on the hate-list of the fans of running flat-out to Worcester. I refer you to Btline's original proposal:
A better idea. Run a double 180 as far as Oxford. Then split it:
*front half runs fast to Worcester, all stops to Hereford
*second one stops at all stops to Worcester
Someone spoke up in favour of this idea at the
CLPG» AGM▸ . It wasn't exactly cheered to the rafters - too many 'villagers' there, I suppose...
And people went to Chiltern because they knew when they were going to get home every night - why else would you switch from a station 10 minutes' drive from home to one half-an-hour away?
I don't have a breakdown of 180 running costs, but as well as the same lease fee as an
HST▸ , you are looking at maintaining five engines and transmissions, versus two in a 125, and every extra train you run needs a crew of two or three people, you pay more track access charges, etc. And FGW get through something like 22 per cent of all the diesel fuel used on Britain's railways, so I expect they are pretty thorough when it comes to weighing up the numbers on such matters.