I never quite caught the detail, but wasn't there a suggestion in the HS2▸ review that there should be some kind of an additonal capacity to permit a faster service between Birmingham and Bristol.
Bear in mind also that TfWM have an aspiration to run services from Birmingham Moor Street to Bristol and Cardiff, at a guess they would be alternating on the hour.
I wonder how much additional capacity can be found on the line? Perhaps electrification might need to be sooner rather than later?
The main problem is the familiar one of mixed traffic on a double-track line. Of the 93-odd miles, the middle 80 - say Kings Norton to Bristol Parkway - can be done in an hour. The Bristol end has been improved considerably by the re-quadrupling at Filton, but the Birmingham end is a nightmare. Either one goes via Camp Hill, crawling round at 15 mph to reach New Street from the east, or one crawls up the West Suburban behind a cross-city stopper from Kings Norton to Five Ways. In a peak hour, the Five Ways route has to take six cross-city 323s, two or even three Worcester 170s, a Cardiff 170, and one 22x or
HST▸ on
XC▸ , the other going Camp Hill.
The northern half of the cross-city doesn't suffer as much, because there is no fast traffic on the Aston-Lichfield line.
I've often wondered if New Street-Kings Norton could be linked to the trams on a new dedicated right of way, freeing up the current line for outer suburban and main line stuff (just retaining University?). It won't happen, of course.
South of KN it's better, with quadruple track from there to Longbridge.