Whilst a new firm MIGHT have new better management and better rules, policies or procedures, there is also a risk that they might be worse ! especially initially when confronted with problems unique to the area.
It's my understanding that perhaps a couple of dozen people at the top are replaced, and of course it takes time for change to come through from those people to the operational team, apart from the "day 1" type instructions to wear new uniforms, and rebranding by the incoming company to strip off the replaced company's branding and put theirs on, even if in the old colours.
When Wessex Trains (National Express) were replaced by First Great Western almost 10 years ago, many of us got the impression that the incoming folks from First weren't anything like as acquainted with the operations of the West fleet as might have been wished, and indeed were relying on their main line experience scaling down to regional and local services to too high a degree. This impression may have been wrong, for in those days I was far less informed, and contacts within First were minimal.
In contrast, in the lead up to the 2012 bids all of the shortlisted bidders - including First - were impressive in the background work and community contacts that they made, and indeed members of some teams were our there on the ground learning how it worked. So the bids would have been, in my view, very well formed indeed even if some of that information had been used to allow them to run the franchise in a way that didn't suit some of the people using and potentially using the trains.
A couple of years on from 2012, much of that shortlisted experience will have been lost, with all bid teams unsuccessful and moving on. And Direct Operated Rail services haven't, to my knowledge, been out and learning in case they have to take over - let alone to the excellent extent that all bidders did a couple of years ago. It follows, then, that it's First who are in a best informed position to be running the services in less than a year from now.