Yesterday's
SWR» Stakeholder meeting online - attended by around 120 - provided a rich vein of update information, from which I will be selecting nuggets to share. I asked no questions, but a real pleasure to have been at a meeting where the chair looked through the feed of enquiries that was opened right through, and acknowledged all the questions, even if the answers to some of them ("such as how much longer are you going to be interim MD there?") was "don't know".
The Rail Minister, Chris Heaton-Harris, put in a guest appearance at the start and one of his key points was to offer effusive thanks to everyone who has kept the railway and the vital services running through these difficult times. One has to hope that with the railway providing such wholehearted government backing at present, that the government will in turn provide wholehearted backing to the railways in the future - and not just in word, but in deed too.
Here are some traffic and passenger number graphs that were shared with us, noting the considerable differences across the patch. Guildford passenger numbers (pre second lockdown) rose to 35% of pre-lockdown levels, Bournemouth rose to around 85% in September as the end of summer overlapped with the start of a return to school and college, but Waterloo numbers have only crept a little above 30%. Together, these indicate a very much altered balance between passenger loadings from what we have seen in the past - it's not simply a uniform shrinkage but a change in where people are going, and almost certainly in why they are going and probably at what time of day / week they are going.
"When will people travel by train again?" ... "When they have cause to do so". Only a very few of us ("I can see some of us here" said Mark) travel by train for the sake of the journey - for most people it's very much the destination and what there is there. It may be location-specific work, business meetings, office, education - also personal business and leisure, and it's going to be very much up to the railways in the future to provide transport to allow those destinations to be reached, well, safely, when people want, and at a sensible cost. Those who have made rail journeys since the first lockdown are impressed by the way the railways have stood up to the mark in what they have been doing in making safe provision, but there's a significant proportion of people who have not taken the step of a first journey, and now can't do so for a further four weeks.
Long term, congestion, climate change and other factors will bring people back to rail - and indeed there are some indicators that people have not all been put off permanently, but there does need to be marketing / publicity / product review to ensure that it all works in the new normal, whatever that might be. The member of the youth parliament for north west Hants spoke of the need to encourage and involve young people, and indeed that is much to our future. At the same time, projects like CrossRail 2 - a Transport for London rather than an SWR project - have lost funding in the
TfL» /
DfT» arrangements and could now be considered to be on the back burner; perhaps such projects will return, or perhaps a review will find that reduced capacity needs into Waterloo will push the project out further if it is ever needed. On the other hand, with people now looking for more space in which to live, and at an affordable price that may mean further from London. With office trips not 5 days a week but perhaps 1, 2 or 3, longer journey times will be far more acceptable and we may see an increase in long distance commuting; talk of my own home town of Melksham doubling in size from our
MP▸ on Wednesday evening somewhat aligns with this.
Much, much more in the rich 100 minutes given to us by SWR. A number of familiar names and faces there, though perhaps not (m)any other Coffee Shop members, being SWR rather than
GWR▸ . But there are many parallels between the wedge out of Waterloo and the wedge out of Paddington, and where things are not exactly parallel, they often overlap and indeed offered shared lessons. A big "Thank you" to SWR for arranging the conference, and for the invite.