I'm posting "Across the West" as here's a picture relevant to South Wales services, to services to the Cotswold line, and services to the South West too. Taken on 2nd October 2014 - that was a Thursday morning - on board the "Capitals Limited" on its run into London Paddington where it arrived on time at around 08:54. The train originates at Swansea, and calls at a number of stations from there to Swindon before running non-stop into Paddington at a peak time.
I was struck by the unusual (for these days) number of unoccupied seats on the train; it's certainly one of the quieter trains into the capital at that time of day, and as we dashed through Maidenhead we saw a sea of people waiting on the relief line platfoms for a service which - by educated guess - could have done with extra seating capacity.
There are discussions in various places (including some of our boards) of running faster services by skipping stops - and my example from the beginning of the month perhaps gives food for thought. Whilst there is a balance to be had, does skipping stops lead to quieter, and ultimately fewer trains? Would the good people of the cities of Heremouth or Plymford or south Wales prefer a clockface / hourly service that calls at the likes of Hollerton Junction, Felpersham, Melchester and Toneborough and takes 200 minutes, or a servive that runs every 2 hours, takes 175 minutes, but skips Holerton Junction, Melchester and Toneborough? Not only does the skip-stop approach reduce the commercial case for a frequent service, but it also withdraws the best London trains from places like Melchester and Toneborough - and it will seriously impact on what might be significant traffic from the cities I mention to those not-insignificant places, with passengers filling seats (and helping keep everyone's fare down) on regional journeys.
Hollerton Junction, mind you, may not be an approapriate place for all the very long distance stuff to stop. Market research tells me that the traffic there may largely be local between Felpersham and the Junction, and that one or other (but not both) is approapriate for the longer distance trains, bearing in mind the regional services.
All food for thought ... logic may suggest certain changes (and we can argue and dicsuss them), but pragmaism should be applied for the next handful of years; we are going to be in for major timetable and train pattern changes in 2017, and for the most part any changes made on those lines with services which will run onto the electrified
GWML▸ in the interim will need to be spectacular in the difference that it makes to make the inevitable disruption of yet another change worthwile. The big decisions, then, are for whan
IEP▸ comes in and I'm sure that the experts are studying the details just as us armchair experts are!