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All across the Great Western territory => Across the West => Topic started by: chrisr_75 on March 18, 2015, 13:30:57



Title: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: chrisr_75 on March 18, 2015, 13:30:57
Two points of direct interest to this forum just announced, initial details on BBC http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-31928641 (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-31928641)

-A new rail franchise for south-west England

-Severn Bridge tolls to be scrapped from 2018


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: chuffed on March 18, 2015, 13:53:11
Not so fast. Seems as if someone heard what they wanted to hear. Tolls NOT being scrapped just cut to ^5.40 for cars,white van man, pink van woman and buses from 2018.


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: chrisr_75 on March 18, 2015, 13:56:30
Not so fast. Seems as if someone heard what they wanted to hear. Tolls NOT being scrapped just cut to ^5.40 for cars,white van man, pink van woman and buses from 2018.

Indeed, there was an inaccuracy in the initial reporting, thanks BBC!  ::)

New SW England rail franchise stands.


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: chrisr_75 on March 18, 2015, 14:09:48
A little more info on the SW England rail franchise here http://www.railnews.co.uk/news/2015/03/18-transport-investment-confirmed-by-chancellor.html (http://www.railnews.co.uk/news/2015/03/18-transport-investment-confirmed-by-chancellor.html)

Quote
[/"We^re also connecting up the South West, with over ^7 billion of transport investment, better roads, support for air links, and ^ I can confirm today ^ a new rail franchise which will bring new intercity express trains and greatly improved rail services."

Talks have been underway for many months between FirstGroup and the Department for Transport, and there is speculation that First has won a further direct award of four years or so, which would extend the present franchise to 2020.
quote]

So it's not a new rail franchise as such, just a new award of an existing one...?! Bit of a non-story in the end!


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: Zoe on March 18, 2015, 14:35:01
https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/413949/47881_Budget_2015_Web_Accessible.pdf

Quote
Great Western direct award
^ The government will, subject to negotiations, shortly
agree a Direct Award with First Great Western until 2019 which will introduce the new Intercity
Express Trains and improve rail services across the South West.

This confirms it is indeed the direct award.


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: JayMac on March 18, 2015, 14:38:46
First Group have done well by FGW after handing the keys back a few years ago. Trebles all round.  ::)

What is franchising for if it can just be ignored?


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: TaplowGreen on March 18, 2015, 15:21:41
https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/413949/47881_Budget_2015_Web_Accessible.pdf

Quote
Great Western direct award
^ The government will, subject to negotiations, shortly
agree a Direct Award with First Great Western until 2019 which will introduce the new Intercity
Express Trains and improve rail services across the South West.

This confirms it is indeed the direct award.



I guess that assumes the new trains will be running by 2019?


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: SandTEngineer on March 18, 2015, 15:38:16

I guess that assumes the new trains will be running by 2019?

 ::) ::) :P


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: ChrisB on March 18, 2015, 15:53:10
I heard that there's an additional year available at DfT discretion - we'll have to wait & see


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: Oberon on March 18, 2015, 16:54:15
In his budget speech today Chancellor George Osborne said "We^re also connecting up the South West, with over ^7 billion of transport investment, better roads, support for air links, and ^ I can confirm today ^ a new rail franchise which will bring new intercity express trains and greatly improved rail services."

This could mean a number of things, so can anybody decode this?


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: didcotdean on March 18, 2015, 17:07:14
The budget document says:
Quote
1.166 Transport: The government has already committed ^7.2 billion to transport
infrastructure in the South West. This includes: ^2 billion on upgrading key roads such as the
A30, A303, A358 and the M5; a new tunnel at Stonehenge; and electrification of the Great
Western Main Line. In January 2015, the Chancellor announced a new South West Peninsula Rail
Task Force to bring forward proposals for strategic and local rail schemes.

1.167 The Secretary of State for Transport will shortly set out details of the new franchise for
the Great Western Route, which will introduce the new ^3 billion Intercity Express
trains, more frequent services and faster journey times. To reduce costs for businesses,
once the Severn River Crossings are in public ownership after 2018, the government will
abolish Category 2 tolls (small goods vehicles and small buses) and include those
vehicles in Category 1 (motor cars and motor caravans).

1.168 Transport: The government has asked the South West Peninsula Task Force
on rail to consider improvements to the Exeter to Salisbury line as part of its work.
The government also encourages the relevant local authorities and Local Enterprise
Partnership to develop a business case for investment in the North Devon Link road,
to form the basis of a future application to the Local Growth Fund.

1.169 Plymouth Marine Enterprise Zone and airport: The government will seek to
create a new Enterprise Zone on the south Naval Dockyard site, and commission a new
study into the possibility of reopening Plymouth airport.


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: Rhydgaled on March 18, 2015, 17:36:14
I guess that assumes the new trains will be running by 2019?
The first one has reached the UK already, so at least some of them will probably be running by 2019. The questions are (a.) where? and (b.) for how much of the journey will they be running their 'Gin Palace' underfloor diesel engines?


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: Oberon on March 18, 2015, 17:56:47
Improvements to the Exeter-Salisbury line are intriguing: could be electrification, a fast or semi-fast service from Waterloo, Inter City type trains, redoubling etc. So much could be done, and it sounds as if the money might be available.


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: TaplowGreen on March 18, 2015, 18:06:15
In his budget speech today Chancellor George Osborne said "We^re also connecting up the South West, with over ^7 billion of transport investment, better roads, support for air links, and ^ I can confirm today ^ a new rail franchise which will bring new intercity express trains and greatly improved rail services."

This could mean a number of things, so can anybody decode this?

............beginning to wonder if there's anyone who ISN'T going to claim credit for Network Rail's investment!!!


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: TaplowGreen on March 18, 2015, 18:10:54
I guess that assumes the new trains will be running by 2019?
The first one has reached the UK already, so at least some of them will probably be running by 2019. The questions are (a.) where? and (b.) for how much of the journey will they be running their 'Gin Palace' underfloor diesel engines?

No offence (and nothing personal!), but "at least some of them will probably be running" doesn't inspire much faith! (although it probably reflects reality!)

I guess much of it is down to how much more the electrification overruns and if the overspend is met.........."in" 2019 rather than "by" 2019 may be worth a small each way bet? (......against the promise of 2017 touted by FGW).



Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: Electric train on March 18, 2015, 19:40:49
Electrification of the West of Basingstoke using third rail is not an option, ORR would not except it as an "in fill scheme"   So I am guessing more re-doubling, perhaps cascaded HST's or 180's and crank the line speed to 110 or where possible 125


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: Electric train on March 18, 2015, 19:45:54

I guess that assumes the new trains will be running by 2019?

Yes ......................

Between Didcot and Reading as test trains, although to be fair to the project team I am guessing they will strive for a service between London and Bristol even if it is a token service


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: Oberon on March 18, 2015, 19:59:20
Cascaded HSTs and 180s plus the ability to run a semi-fast service over the route as well as the present all station stoppers would be a real improvement.


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: Network SouthEast on March 18, 2015, 20:05:15
I am not sure if the HSTs have the acceleration to be a viable replacement for the class 158 and 159s currently used on the route. There are only 14 class 180s and these are spoken for (if they weren't I'd suggest they all stay in the Great Western region).

I've read elsewhere that the Waterloo to Exeter route might be a contender for taking on the class 222s from East Midlands Trains once the Midland Mainline is electrified.


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: PhilWakely on March 18, 2015, 20:43:35
Surely, re-doubling the line/adding more passing loops must come first?  I have read the (hastely produced) East Devon local Plan and this has resurrected the idea of an 'Inter-modal freight facility' between Pinhoe and Cranbrook which talks about transferring 'a significant quantity of freight traffic from road to rail'. How this traffic is to fit into 'an anticipated 30 minute frequency Devon Metro service between Exeter and Axminster' without any improvement to the infrastructure is anybody's guess! Added to that of course should be the pathing requirements of diverted Paddington services

Also, the cynic in me wishes to point out the following wording (my highlighting) in the budget document....
Quote
1.168 Transport: The government has asked the South West Peninsula Task Force
on rail to consider improvements to the Exeter to Salisbury line as part of its work.

Conclusion..... "Sorry, insufficient benefits and no money available!"


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: Super Guard on March 18, 2015, 21:12:49
First Group have done well by FGW after handing the keys back a few years ago. Trebles all round.  ::)

What is franchising for if it can just be ignored?

...all made possible thanks to that wonderful Labour government we had.  Haven't we got over that "outrage" yet?

I read that FG Directors could have been prosecuted for putting the company on an obvious path to financial ruin by taking the extension, so I really don't know what anyone seriously expected them to do?  No-one is shocked Osborne's figures do not match his 2010 projections 5 years later, yet many got on their soap boxes and cried foul play because FG and the DfT couldn't predict the future back in 2006.


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on March 18, 2015, 21:19:24
Hmm.  ::)   I'm going to go beyond a mere 'like' for the previous post, and instead enter a rousing 'Hear, Hear!', for the record.


Posted as my opinion in a personal capacity, rather than as an official statement of Coffee Shop forum policy, obviously.  :-X


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: Rhydgaled on March 18, 2015, 21:57:36
I guess that assumes the new trains will be running by 2019?
The first one has reached the UK already, so at least some of them will probably be running by 2019. The questions are (a.) where? and (b.) for how much of the journey will they be running their 'Gin Palace' underfloor diesel engines?

No offence (and nothing personal!), but "at least some of them will probably be running" doesn't inspire much faith! (although it probably reflects reality!)

I guess much of it is down to how much more the electrification overruns and if the overspend is met.........."in" 2019 rather than "by" 2019 may be worth a small each way bet? (......against the promise of 2017 touted by FGW).
Unless the railway is closed for a major blockcade to install wires, I think I'd be supprised if there are no IEPs at all in service in December 2017, given the bi-modes are supposed to be capable of introduction before electrification is complete. I suppose that depends on whether they can do 125mph on diesel power, and if not whether all the 125mph bits have been wired...


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: JayMac on March 18, 2015, 22:13:18
First Group have done well by FGW after handing the keys back a few years ago. Trebles all round.  ::)

What is franchising for if it can just be ignored?

...all made possible thanks to that wonderful Labour government we had.  Haven't we got over that "outrage" yet?

I read that FG Directors could have been prosecuted for putting the company on an obvious path to financial ruin by taking the extension, so I really don't know what anyone seriously expected them to do?  No-one is shocked Osborne's figures do not match his 2010 projections 5 years later, yet many got on their soap boxes and cried foul play because FG and the DfT couldn't predict the future back in 2006.

So it's Labour's fault that Greater Western hasn't been retendered? It's Labour's fault that the franchise timetable has had the goalposts moved three times since the Intercity West Coast franchise debacle. And I assume that if we're misguidingly blaming Labour then we might as well pin that WCML debacle on them as well. >:( :o ::)

(Apologies for quoting in full but only picking up on one point. On my phone and extremely difficult to edit/delete as I'd like)


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on March 18, 2015, 22:19:19
I rather thought we were tending to blame the misguided functionaries at the Department for Transport, rather than the Labour Party specifically?  ;D


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: ellendune on March 18, 2015, 22:24:08
So it's Labour's fault that Greater Western hasn't been retendered? It's Labour's fault that the franchise timetable has had the goalposts moved three times since the Intercity West Coast franchise debacle. And I assume that if we're misguidingly blaming Labour then we might as well pin that WCML debacle on them as well. >:( :o ::)

I rather thought we were tending to blame the misguided functionaries at the Department for Transport, rather than the Labour Party specifically?  ;D

Agreed, but also a governing class (all parties that have been in power) who think they can play at managing complex enterprises with no experience of the real world.  


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: JayMac on March 18, 2015, 22:25:15
As for the point about legal aspects regarding acting in best interests of shareholders. Were it not for a grossly misguided bid that, by obfuscation and dazzle, blinded the DfT, then First Group would not have needed to walk away early. And let's not forget, if the extension was only in the gift of the DfT then First would have done the exact same as National Express with the East Coast franchise. Walked away and let UK Plc pick up the tab. That would at least have meant we would have had a franchise competition is on GW by now. Instead we've had a government continuing to reward a parent company that threw in the towel.


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: ellendune on March 18, 2015, 22:35:34
Were it not for a grossly misguided bid that, by obfuscation and dazzle, blinded the DfT, then First Group would not have needed to walk away early.

My point entirely, but if FGW had not played DfT's game they would have just have pulled out of the rail business. Because that is the way DfT set up the game. You might think you would have been glad if that had happened - but there were plenty others willing to play the game and no nationalised bidder possible.  So if that is what happened blame DfT not FGW. 

And let's not forget, if the extension was only in the gift of the DfT then First would have done the exact same as National Express with the East Coast franchise.

Asserted, not argued. 


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: Network SouthEast on March 19, 2015, 04:03:39

So it's Labour's fault that Greater Western hasn't been retendered? It's Labour's fault that the franchise timetable has had the goalposts moved three times since the Intercity West Coast franchise debacle. And I assume that if we're misguidingly blaming Labour then we might as well pin that WCML debacle on them as well. >:( :o ::)

(Apologies for quoting in full but only picking up on one point. On my phone and extremely difficult to edit/delete as I'd like)
I suppose if Labour implemented their original policy of Renationalisation, then in 2006 there'd have been no franchise to give to anyone other than the state!

Let's be fair, governments of both colours have cocked up franchising through the years.

My personal view is that it seems to me the DfT seem to run rings around whoever is in power. Too few politicians understand, or want to understand,  the finer points of public transport to keep the DfT in check.


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: ellendune on March 19, 2015, 07:20:20
My personal view is that it seems to me the DfT seem to run rings around whoever is in power. Too few politicians understand, or want to understand,  the finer points of public transport to keep the DfT in check.

And my view too. 


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: Rhydgaled on March 19, 2015, 08:28:26
My personal view is that it seems to me the DfT seem to run rings around whoever is in power. Too few politicians understand, or want to understand,  the finer points of public transport to keep the DfT in check.
An interesting point. Furthermore, how are ministerial posts allocated amogst MPs? Sometimes, do they give the job to somebody they like/don't like rather than somebody who really wants the job? Maybe we should have a second election a few weeks after a general one to democratically elect ministers who have to put their name down to stand for that post...


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: PhilWakely on March 19, 2015, 08:44:18
........... Maybe we should have a second election a few weeks after a general one to democratically elect ministers who have to put their name down to stand for that post....

An interesting idea! Some ministers in the past appear to have been set up to fail in office.  Also, another reason this would be good is that some ministers appear to have forgotten the main reason they were elected in the first place. To quote from the sitting MP from my neighbouring constituency (East Devon - Hugo Swire)... "As a government minister, I am unable to represent the interests of my constituents directly". 


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: didcotdean on March 19, 2015, 09:33:18
Until 1919 anyone appointed as a Minister to an office considered to be 'an office of profit under the Crown' had to seek re-election within 9 months, and this included 'any commissioner of transports' under the 'Succession to the Crown Act 1707'.

This was limited and later abolished altogether as the turnouts in such elections were low, and the tradition had become that these were usually unopposed by the main parties anyway unless it was a marginal (Winston Churchill lost in a by-election in such a seat in 1908 after becoming  President of the Board of Trade). The original reason was so that Ministers showed their independence from the Crown's patronage.


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: ChrisB on March 19, 2015, 10:28:06
Mine too, with the codicil that the politocos aren't interested in learning, either.


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: TonyK on March 19, 2015, 17:24:48

Agreed, but also a governing class (all parties that have been in power) who think they can play at managing complex enterprises with no experience of the real world.  

Paying ^68,000 to ^140,000 pa isn't going to get you someone who can run an organisation as big as UK PLC's railways. Given that the transport minister is also responsible for ordering new roads and ports, as well as avoiding making a decision on Heathrow's runways, he/she is doing the job on the cheap.


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: TaplowGreen on March 19, 2015, 18:36:16

Agreed, but also a governing class (all parties that have been in power) who think they can play at managing complex enterprises with no experience of the real world.  

Paying ^68,000 to ^140,000 pa isn't going to get you someone who can[/run] an organisation as big as UK PLC's railways. Given that the transport minister is also responsible for ordering new roads and ports, as well as avoiding making a decision on Heathrow's runways, he/she is doing the job on the cheap.

Very few people who have spent their entire career in politics/the public sector/quasi public sector have much concept of what goes on the real world, however don't necessarily equate size of salary with ability - a Secretary of State has a bigger network of support and expertise than most Private companies, it really depends on his political agenda and the slice of cake he is permitted from the Treasury.........historically Transport has come some way down the pecking order, it's not a "sexy" subject like Health or Education.


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: ellendune on March 19, 2015, 21:02:27
a Secretary of State has a bigger network of support and expertise than most Private companies, it really depends on his political agenda and the slice of cake he is permitted from the Treasury.........historically Transport has come some way down the pecking order, it's not a "sexy" subject like Health or Education.
Ah yes that network of support....

My personal view is that it seems to me the DfT seem to run rings around whoever is in power. Too few politicians understand, or want to understand,  the finer points of public transport to keep the DfT in check.

That brings us back to where we started. 


Title: Re: Budget announcements, 18 March 2015 (merged topic)
Post by: TonyK on March 19, 2015, 22:37:27
I know who is really ruining running the country. I am a civil servant after all.

I heard Parick McLoughlin on the BBC news this morning. He strikes me as a man who knows his subject, and he has plenty to announce (or reannounce) next week.



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